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CITIC Jiantou interprets the Politburo meeting in December: it opens up the market's expectation of monetary easing space in 2025. CITIC Jiantou Research Report pointed out that there are six obvious expressions of the positive signal of the Politburo meeting in December: 1. "Implementing a more active and promising macro policy"; 2. "Stabilize the property market and stock market"; 3. "Strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustment"; 4. "We should vigorously boost consumption"; 5. "More active fiscal policy"; 6. "moderately loose monetary policy". The most concerned is the last expression, "moderately loose monetary policy". For most of the time, the Politburo used the word "steady" to describe the currency. This time, it adopted the rare "moderate easing", which opened the market's expectation for the monetary easing space in 2025. The "liquidity trap" recently discussed in the market does not apply to China, and monetary easing can solve a considerable part of the problem of weak domestic demand. From the perspective of trend, observing the future domestic demand trend of China, what needs to be tracked most is the currency. From the short-term emotional point of view, "stabilizing the property market and stock market" will become a short-term market trading point.Merchants Shekou: In November, the contracted sales amount was 21.592 billion yuan. Merchants Shekou announced that in November 2024, the company realized the contracted sales area of 827,400 square meters and the contracted sales amount was 21.592 billion yuan. From January to November, 2024, the contracted sales area was 8,169,500 square meters, and the contracted sales amount was 189.063 billion yuan.Shenwan Hongyuan Securities interprets the meeting of the Political Bureau in December: highlighting "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "stabilizing the property market stock market". Shenwan Hongyuan Securities Research Report pointed out that in December, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's discussion on next year's economic work was more refined, guiding the direction of future policies, such as "expanding domestic demand in all directions". The meeting rarely emphasized "stabilizing the property market and stock market", highlighting that the current policy pays more attention to the impact of asset-side performance on the real economy. The positive signal of the policy is being released continuously, and more specific deployment focuses on the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference in December. In terms of fiscal and monetary policies, the positive degree of macro-policy adjustment is relatively rare. The meeting proposed "implementing more positive and promising macro-policies" and "strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustment". Under the "more active" fiscal policy, it may be worth looking forward to actively using the central deficit space that can be improved. Under the tone of "moderate easing", monetary policy may pay more attention to internal balance, and the RRR cut can be expected.

Market News: White House National Security Adviser jack sullivan is expected to visit Israel on Thursday to hold talks on Syrian and Gaza hostages and a ceasefire agreement.Kaitou Macro: The fall of Assad is unlikely to have a major impact on the energy market. Jason Tuvey, an analyst at Kaitou Macro, said that the fall of former Syrian President Assad is not expected to have a major impact on the energy market. The economist said that even at the peak of about 600,000 barrels per day in the early 21st century, Syria's oil production only accounted for a small part of the global oil supply, and since the beginning of the civil war in 2011, Syria's oil production has declined. At present, the country's oil production is less than 100,000 barrels per day, and most of the country's oil infrastructure has been destroyed. In a report to clients, Tuvey said: "Even if the political situation stabilizes, it will take years or even decades to rebuild, and its economy may never return to the pre-war scale. The situation in the energy market is similar. "The dollar rose 0.5% against the yen to 150.75.

Canada's national economic confidence index reached 51.5 on December 6th, with the previous value of 52.1.Iran: It has established contact with Syrian "opposition forces". According to Reuters's report on December 9, a senior Iranian official told Reuters on September 9 that after Bashar al-Assad, Iran's main ally, was ousted, Iran has established direct communication channels with opposition forces within the new Syrian leadership to prevent a "hostile track" between the two countries. (Xinhua News Agency)Merchants Shekou: In November, the contracted sales amount was 21.592 billion yuan. Merchants Shekou announced that in November 2024, the company realized the contracted sales area of 827,400 square meters and the contracted sales amount was 21.592 billion yuan. From January to November, 2024, the contracted sales area was 8,169,500 square meters, and the contracted sales amount was 189.063 billion yuan.